The Decade in the Cave

A wooden table with a closed folder, reading glasses, and a piece of cloth lit by dawn light through a half-open door, symbolizing restraint in political history.
The quiet room of decision: three artifacts representing moments where leaders chose restraint over absolute power.

OPENING

The Room He Refused to Sit Back Down In

In the last weeks of 2022, Brazil’s outgoing president called the heads of his armed forces into a room. According to reporting this month in The Guardian, the defense minister pulled a folder from a plastic sleeve and handed each commander a copy of a draft decree — one built to invalidate an election he’d already lost, and keep him in office anyway.

This isn’t a transcript from that room. It’s one participant’s account, published years later in his own memoir — Lieutenant Brigadier Carlos de Almeida Baptista Júnior’s, out this month — worth reading as testimony rather than record. By his own telling, he refused to even take the copy, said the air force would not participate, and left (Guardian, 2026). He wasn’t the only lever the plotters needed; the army’s commander also withheld support, and the plan collapsed for reasons wider than one man’s choice. But he held one of those levers, at the hour it mattered, and he was in a position to separate three questions most people never have to tell apart under pressure: what he had the capacity to do, what he had the authority to do, and what he had any right to do at all.

That gap — between what a person can do and what they’re entitled to — isn’t a South American peculiarity. It opens anywhere a legitimate process meets someone briefly holding more capacity than restraint, which is to say: everywhere, eventually.

Roughly three thousand years earlier, a fugitive with far less institutional weight than an air force commander met that same gap twice, with a king’s unguarded life sitting inside it both times.


HISTORY

The Officers Who Wanted to Crown Him

By the spring of 1783, the war that would create the United States was, for practical purposes, already won. What hadn’t been won was any way to pay the men who’d fought it. Congress under the Articles of Confederation couldn’t tax; it could only ask, and be ignored. Officers camped at Newburgh had gone unpaid for months, some out of their own pockets, just to keep their soldiers from walking home.

An anonymous letter began circulating that March, urging the officers toward one of two moves: march on Congress under arms, or refuse to disband once the war ended, holding the country’s only functioning army as collateral until the debt was settled. It called the officers to meet on their own authority, outside any chain of command — the capacity for exactly that meeting already sat in their hands, fully armed and unpaid for months, which is precisely what made the proposal plausible rather than absurd.

Washington’s response, preserved in his general orders of March 11, 1783, wasn’t to forbid the meeting. It was to reclaim it — postponing the officers’ gathering and calling his own for March 15, one he would chair himself (Founders Online, 1783). At that meeting, he acknowledged their anger as legitimate before he ever challenged their remedy for it. Partway through, he paused to put on a pair of reading glasses few in the room had seen, saying only that he’d grown gray in the country’s service and now found himself going blind in it too.

Nothing about that gesture argued a position. It simply let several hundred armed, unpaid, entirely capable men watch the cost already paid by the one man asking them to keep waiting a little longer. The capacity in that room to bypass Congress entirely never left the officers’ hands. What moved was something else — their sense of what that capacity actually entitled them to do with it. Their own resolutions of loyalty to the civil process followed within the hour.


SCRIPTURE

Twice Offered, Twice Declined

David’s rise follows a pattern close to mechanical: anointing, exile, opportunity, restraint, and only then, kingship. He’s anointed Israel’s future king in chapter 16 — anointed, not crowned, and the promise came with no date attached. What follows is roughly a decade of David holding a promise with no timetable, hunted the whole time by the man currently occupying the throne he’s been told will someday be his.

Twice in those years, Saul’s life falls directly into David’s hands. First in a cave at En Gedi, where Saul walks in alone and unaware; David’s men read it as unmistakable providence:

“Behold the day of which the LORD said unto thee, Behold, I will deliver thine enemy into thine hand.” (1 Samuel 24:4, paraphrased)

David cuts a corner from Saul’s robe, and immediately regrets even that:

“The LORD forbid that I should stretch forth mine hand against him, seeing he is the anointed of the LORD.” (1 Samuel 24:6)

The second time is Saul’s own sleeping camp at night, his spear driven into the ground beside him. The offer, and the refusal, repeat almost word for word:

“The LORD render to every man his righteousness… the LORD delivered thee into my hand to day, but I would not stretch forth mine hand against the LORD’s anointed.” (1 Samuel 26:23, paraphrased)

David’s men aren’t wrong about the circumstance, either time. Saul really is defenseless. The opportunity is real. What collapses in their reading is the same gap Baptista Júnior and Washington’s officers faced: the moment can be correctly identified as providence, and incorrectly treated as permission to act on it by one’s own hand. Capacity had arrived. Authority to use it hadn’t — and David, alone among the men in that cave, seems to have noticed the difference mattered.

It would be simpler to close the door there, with David’s restraint fully vindicating him. Scripture doesn’t allow it. The same man who wouldn’t lift a hand against a sleeping king will, chapters later, arrange a husband’s death to cover an affair he started with that man’s wife. Restraint at En Gedi wasn’t a test David passed once and banked forever; it was a discipline he kept only as long as he kept it daily, and eventually he didn’t. What those two nights in the wilderness establish is narrower than a character reference for David: a promise, however certain, doesn’t authorize the person holding it to seize its fulfillment by whatever means happen to be within reach.

None of this argues that restraint is simply obedience in different clothing, or that every unresolved injustice is a private summons to wait quietly and say nothing further. What these two nights insist on, without resolving into a single formula, is narrower: a chance correctly recognized is not, by itself, a right correctly granted — and what a person does with that gap, when no one else is watching, tends to outlast whatever explanation they give for it afterward.

PATTERN

When Power Is Not Permission

A self-coup is rarely defeated by an abstract constitutional principle sitting in a textbook. It’s defeated when the institutions capable of enforcing the illegal act refuse to become its instrument — closer to what happened in Brazil in 2022 than any account centered on a single hero (Journal of Democracy, 2024).

I kept returning to how unremarkable the refusal looked when it happened — no press conference, no vote, just a man standing up and leaving a room whose decision had already, quietly, been made without him. History only assigns it weight afterward, once the outcome is settled and the alternative has become unthinkable in hindsight. From inside the moment, it doesn’t feel like the safe choice. It feels like walking away from a solution sitting directly in front of you, for a slower process that offers no promise it will ever arrive at all.

Capacity answers can I. Authority asks may I. Somewhere underneath both sits a third, quieter question neither one settles on its own: should I, regardless of what I’m cleared to do. Baptista Júnior, Washington, and David each held real capacity at the hour it mattered, and none of them could fully prove, in that hour, that the harder question would ever be answered in their favor. What each of them did instead was decline to collapse all three questions into one — to let I can stand in for I may, or I may stand in for I should. Institutions, and the people inside them, don’t hold together because their leaders are pure. They hold together because at certain hours, someone with real capacity refuses to convert it into personal entitlement — and because enough people around them have learned to recognize that refusal as the thing worth protecting, not the delay worth resenting.


CLOSING

What the Cave Was Actually For

In the previous installment, we watched a king perform an office that was never his to occupy, at the one hour waiting felt unaffordable. This one is its mirror: a man who could have taken by force something he was legitimately promised, and chose not to, for reasons he could name out loud but couldn’t fully prove would matter.

Baptista Júnior didn’t return to that room to be thanked; he returned to it publicly only years later, once the courts had already confirmed what he’d decided without their help. David’s decade in exile wasn’t a delay imposed on a kingship owed to him. Each time the throne came within reach and he declined to take it by his own hand, the decade was the thing actually forming the king Israel would eventually get — not a finished man, as it turned out, but one who had at least learned, before the crown touched him, that being promised something and being entitled to seize it are not the same claim.

What outlasts any single leader’s restraint, in the end, is whether the people around them ever learn to notice it happening — and to guard it, long after the room has emptied and the moment has stopped looking remarkable at all.


Notes & Sources
Rogero, Tiago. “‘It cost me many friendships’: former Brazil military chief reveals inside struggle to stop Bolsonaro’s coup.” The Guardian, Sept. 5, 2026. (Participant testimony, published in Baptista Júnior’s 2026 memoir.)
George Washington, General Orders, 11 March 1783. Founders Online, National Archives.
Middlekauff, Robert. The Glorious Cause: The American Revolution, 1763–1789. Oxford University Press, 2005.
“Why Militaries Support Presidential Coups,” Journal of Democracy, 2024.
Scripture quotations are from the King James Version (public domain).

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